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IMPORTANT POINTS:
- The US dollar fell 3.1% in November 2023, while the S&P 500 rose 8.9%.
- Experts predict a bearish outlook for the dollar in 2024.
- The Federal Reserve kept interest rates stable, influencing the bond market and inflation expectations.
In November 2023, the financial market underwent a notable transformation. The US Dollar Index fell 3.1%, while, in a stunning turnaround, the S&P 500 Index climbed 8.9%. This change is attributed to growing speculation that the US Federal Reserve could initiate an interest rate cut in early 2024.
Dollar Analysis: A Bearish Outlook for 2024
Despite a slight recovery in late November, experts such as Athanasios Vamvakidis of Bank of America maintain a bearish view on the dollar in the year ahead. This trend reflects a deviation from traditional factors that usually influence the dollar, such as the global economic situation and government policies.
Finally, the US government bond market also reflected this optimism, with an increase in bond prices and a decrease in yields, falling from a peak of 5.02% in October to 4.32% in November. The iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF, which tracks the broader bond market, saw a 4.3% increase in its value.
Finally, the US government bond market also reflected this optimism, with an increase in bond prices and a decrease in yields, falling from a peak of 5.02% in October to 4.32% in November. The iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF, which tracks the broader bond market, saw a 4.3% increase in its value.